Edge Report

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Journal history is the primary edge signal on this page.

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Strategies
7
Closed Trades
14174
Profitable Strategies
7
Last Recorded Trade
2026-05-29 22:45:00

Quant Evidence by Symbol

Condition the realized sample by regime, window, and timeframe before treating it as real edge

XAUUSD.PRO

Sample established · max drawdown $17456.78 · max losing streak 9

XAUUSD.PRO: positive realized edge exists

The realized sample is positive; the main question is where the edge is strongest and whether it survives narrower conditioning.

Trades
1595
Win Rate
77.6%
95% band 75.5%–79.6%
Expectancy
$637.31
Profit Factor
4.389
P&L Distribution
p10 $-665.59 · p50 $681.00 · p90 $2001.50
Best Timeframe
20m
Actionable Read
  • Best regime so far: balanced_range (854 trades, exp $880.00)
  • Best window so far: XAUUSD.PRO · 09:00 UTC · history_import (62 trades)
  • Best timeframe evidence: 20m (113 trades, exp $1112.86)
  • 95% win-rate band: 75.5%–79.6%

Regime Edge

balanced range exp $880.00
854 trades 92.3% win $751516.04
trend down exp $734.73
136 trades 85.3% win $99923.32
trend up exp $423.98
359 trades 50.7% win $152207.13
unknown exp $37.63
246 trades 61.3% win $9031.66

Best Windows

XAUUSD.PRO · 09:00 UTC · history_import exp $1115.68
62 trades 96.8% win history_import
XAUUSD.PRO · 03:00 UTC · history_import exp $1099.45
88 trades 78.4% win history_import
XAUUSD.PRO · 11:00 UTC · history_import exp $1028.78
22 trades 86.4% win history_import

Timeframe Evidence

20m exp $1112.86
113 trades 71.7% win PF 3.6
15m exp $1112.32
163 trades 75.5% win PF 4.813
5m exp $669.56
355 trades 86.5% win PF 7.966
10m exp $659.87
206 trades 77.7% win PF 3.137

OILUSD.PRO

Sample established · max drawdown $8231.83 · max losing streak 11

OILUSD.PRO: positive realized edge exists

The realized sample is positive; the main question is where the edge is strongest and whether it survives narrower conditioning.

Trades
1452
Win Rate
70.8%
95% band 68.4%–73.0%
Expectancy
$310.62
Profit Factor
3.21
P&L Distribution
p10 $-545.39 · p50 $347.50 · p90 $1105.00
Best Timeframe
30m
Actionable Read
  • Best regime so far: balanced_range (670 trades, exp $437.99)
  • Best window so far: OILUSD.PRO · 21:00 UTC · history_import (34 trades)
  • Best timeframe evidence: 30m (82 trades, exp $619.29)
  • 95% win-rate band: 68.4%–73.0%

Regime Edge

balanced range exp $437.99
670 trades 90.6% win $293451.78
trend down exp $327.13
164 trades 77.4% win $53650.07
trend up exp $189.36
570 trades 48.6% win $107934.99
unknown exp $-100.70
48 trades 32.6% win $-4632.20

Best Windows

OILUSD.PRO · 21:00 UTC · history_import exp $808.77
34 trades 61.8% win history_import
OILUSD.PRO · 18:00 UTC · history_import exp $711.26
47 trades 80.9% win history_import
OILUSD.PRO · 17:00 UTC · history_import exp $664.07
31 trades 80.6% win history_import

Timeframe Evidence

30m exp $619.29
82 trades 69.5% win PF 3.95
15m exp $500.36
219 trades 74.9% win PF 3.803
20m exp $460.04
140 trades 67.9% win PF 3.369
10m exp $262.63
253 trades 64.4% win PF 2.408

BTCUSD

Sample established · max drawdown $6313.53 · max losing streak 14

BTCUSD: positive realized edge exists

The realized sample is positive; the main question is where the edge is strongest and whether it survives narrower conditioning.

Trades
2805
Win Rate
75.5%
95% band 73.9%–77.1%
Expectancy
$127.97
Profit Factor
3.242
P&L Distribution
p10 $-202.94 · p50 $142.00 · p90 $419.45
Best Timeframe
30m
Actionable Read
  • Best regime so far: trend_down (241 trades, exp $176.75)
  • Best window so far: BTCUSD · 21:00 UTC (2 trades)
  • Best timeframe evidence: 30m (296 trades, exp $209.63)
  • 95% win-rate band: 73.9%–77.1%

Regime Edge

trend down exp $176.75
241 trades 83.0% win $42597.65
balanced range exp $169.09
1478 trades 93.0% win $249921.01
trend up exp $100.20
798 trades 53.5% win $79957.58
unknown exp $-48.17
288 trades 40.2% win $-13777.91

Best Windows

BTCUSD · 21:00 UTC exp $302.47
2 trades 100.0% win unknown
BTCUSD · 04:00 UTC exp $262.51
6 trades 100.0% win unknown
BTCUSD · 16:00 UTC exp $229.08
6 trades 100.0% win unknown

Timeframe Evidence

30m exp $209.63
296 trades 61.8% win PF 2.754
20m exp $203.94
235 trades 74.9% win PF 3.318
10m exp $173.78
342 trades 80.7% win PF 4.88
15m exp $172.55
254 trades 75.2% win PF 3.466

EURUSD.PRO

Sample established · max drawdown $3996.20 · max losing streak 9

EURUSD.PRO: positive realized edge exists

The realized sample is positive; the main question is where the edge is strongest and whether it survives narrower conditioning.

Trades
2129
Win Rate
92.2%
95% band 91.0%–93.3%
Expectancy
$50.50
Profit Factor
4.868
P&L Distribution
p10 $12.00 · p50 $41.00 · p90 $140.00
Best Timeframe
30m
Actionable Read
  • Best regime so far: trend_down (26 trades, exp $66.19)
  • Best window so far: EURUSD.PRO · 04:00 UTC (6 trades)
  • Best timeframe evidence: 30m (197 trades, exp $133.74)
  • 95% win-rate band: 91.0%–93.3%

Regime Edge

trend down exp $66.19
26 trades 96.2% win $1721.00
trend up exp $65.91
45 trades 62.2% win $2966.00
balanced range exp $56.40
1949 trades 95.8% win $109926.00
unknown exp $-65.20
109 trades 38.5% win $-7106.42

Best Windows

EURUSD.PRO · 04:00 UTC exp $223.38
6 trades 50.0% win unknown
EURUSD.PRO · 11:00 UTC exp $172.64
13 trades 76.9% win unknown
EURUSD.PRO · 22:00 UTC · history_import exp $133.02
49 trades 98.0% win history_import

Timeframe Evidence

30m exp $133.74
197 trades 86.8% win PF 7.539
20m exp $80.87
117 trades 92.3% win PF 7.692
15m exp $69.94
229 trades 93.9% win PF 11.26
10m exp $64.83
337 trades 98.5% win PF 43.339

USTEC100

Sample established · max drawdown $4350.93 · max losing streak 17

USTEC100: positive realized edge exists

The realized sample is positive; the main question is where the edge is strongest and whether it survives narrower conditioning.

Trades
1824
Win Rate
79.6%
95% band 77.7%–81.4%
Expectancy
$30.66
Profit Factor
2.748
P&L Distribution
p10 $-49.69 · p50 $31.83 · p90 $99.13
Best Timeframe
20m
Actionable Read
  • Best regime so far: balanced_range (1201 trades, exp $39.26)
  • Best window so far: USTEC100 · 11:00 UTC (4 trades)
  • Best timeframe evidence: 20m (165 trades, exp $55.58)
  • 95% win-rate band: 77.7%–81.4%

Regime Edge

balanced range exp $39.26
1201 trades 94.2% win $47151.42
trend up exp $34.64
383 trades 52.0% win $13265.65
trend down exp $13.63
102 trades 72.5% win $1390.69
unknown exp $-42.58
138 trades 34.8% win $-5875.55

Best Windows

USTEC100 · 11:00 UTC exp $534.72
4 trades 100.0% win unknown
USTEC100 · 12:00 UTC exp $203.48
6 trades 100.0% win unknown
USTEC100 · 21:00 UTC exp $198.85
6 trades 33.3% win unknown

Timeframe Evidence

20m exp $55.58
165 trades 75.2% win PF 5.388
30m exp $55.27
190 trades 71.1% win PF 5.48
15m exp $40.13
206 trades 75.2% win PF 3.998
10m exp $34.68
287 trades 80.8% win PF 4.945

US500

Sample established · max drawdown $2885.70 · max losing streak 9

US500: positive realized edge exists

The realized sample is positive; the main question is where the edge is strongest and whether it survives narrower conditioning.

Trades
1839
Win Rate
86.4%
95% band 84.7%–87.8%
Expectancy
$11.58
Profit Factor
2.773
P&L Distribution
p10 $-7.09 · p50 $6.54 · p90 $17.20
Best Timeframe
1m
Actionable Read
  • Best regime so far: unknown (115 trades, exp $85.34)
  • Best window so far: US500 · 21:00 UTC (9 trades)
  • Best timeframe evidence: 1m (115 trades, exp $85.34)
  • 95% win-rate band: 84.7%–87.8%

Regime Edge

unknown exp $85.34
115 trades 47.0% win $9814.47
balanced range exp $6.98
1453 trades 93.4% win $10147.10
trend down exp $6.80
98 trades 86.7% win $665.92
trend up exp $3.84
173 trades 53.2% win $664.43

Best Windows

US500 · 21:00 UTC exp $1435.34
9 trades 100.0% win unknown
US500 · 16:00 UTC exp $227.19
16 trades 62.5% win unknown
US500 · 15:00 UTC exp $150.76
3 trades 100.0% win unknown

Timeframe Evidence

1m exp $85.34
115 trades 47.0% win PF 1.997
30m exp $9.21
248 trades 83.5% win PF 6.041
20m exp $8.58
117 trades 79.5% win PF 3.756
15m exp $7.13
249 trades 80.7% win PF 3.947

ETHUSD

Sample established · max drawdown $8594.62 · max losing streak 16

ETHUSD: positive realized edge exists

The realized sample is positive; the main question is where the edge is strongest and whether it survives narrower conditioning.

Trades
2530
Win Rate
68.1%
95% band 66.2%–69.9%
Expectancy
$0.67
Profit Factor
1.061
P&L Distribution
p10 $-15.52 · p50 $5.12 · p90 $18.71
Best Timeframe
30m
Actionable Read
  • Best regime so far: trend_down (359 trades, exp $9.65)
  • Best window so far: ETHUSD · 02:00 UTC (5 trades)
  • Best timeframe evidence: 30m (323 trades, exp $9.66)
  • 95% win-rate band: 66.2%–69.9%

Regime Edge

trend down exp $9.65
359 trades 84.7% win $3465.42
balanced range exp $6.37
1139 trades 87.7% win $7250.45
trend up exp $2.27
779 trades 46.0% win $1769.20
unknown exp $-42.69
253 trades 24.1% win $-10800.19

Best Windows

ETHUSD · 02:00 UTC exp $398.82
5 trades 40.0% win unknown
ETHUSD · 03:00 UTC exp $388.09
10 trades 100.0% win unknown
ETHUSD · 19:00 UTC exp $29.44
3 trades 100.0% win unknown

Timeframe Evidence

30m exp $9.66
323 trades 58.2% win PF 2.619
15m exp $7.53
286 trades 74.1% win PF 4.382
20m exp $6.98
235 trades 67.2% win PF 2.823
10m exp $5.10
323 trades 74.0% win PF 3.133

Journal Edge by Strategy

Realized trades grouped by strategy, then symbol and mode

mt5_auto_BTCUSD

1 symbol tracked · sample established

Last trade
2026-05-29 20:30:00
Trades
2805
2117W / 686L / 2 BE
Win Rate
75.5%
Expectancy
$127.97
Total P&L
$358698.33
Avg P&L
$127.88
Avg R
—

Best Historical Windows

Observational, not guaranteed

BTCUSD · 21:00 UTC

exp $302.47
2 trades 100.0% win $604.94 unknown

BTCUSD · 04:00 UTC

exp $262.51
6 trades 100.0% win $1575.07 unknown

BTCUSD · 16:00 UTC

exp $229.08
6 trades 100.0% win $916.31 unknown

Parameter Recommendation

window_only

BTCUSD · 21:00 UTC materially outperforms the full strategy baseline. Prefer that session or hour window first.

Best current window: BTCUSD · 21:00 UTC

  • Keep current filters and size; only expand after more established sample quality.
Symbol Trades Win Rate Expectancy Total P&L Avg P&L Avg R Modes
BTCUSD 2805 75.5% $127.97 $358698.33 $127.88 —
shadow 2517 trades 79.5% $372476.24 exp $147.98
live 288 trades 40.2% $-13777.91 exp $-48.17

mt5_auto_ETHUSD

1 symbol tracked · sample established

Last trade
2026-05-29 22:00:00
Trades
2530
1722W / 808L / 0 BE
Win Rate
68.1%
Expectancy
$0.67
Total P&L
$1684.88
Avg P&L
$0.67
Avg R
—

Best Historical Windows

Observational, not guaranteed

ETHUSD · 02:00 UTC

exp $398.82
5 trades 40.0% win $1994.11 unknown

ETHUSD · 03:00 UTC

exp $388.09
10 trades 100.0% win $3880.94 unknown

ETHUSD · 19:00 UTC

exp $29.44
3 trades 100.0% win $88.32 unknown

Parameter Recommendation

window_only

ETHUSD · 02:00 UTC materially outperforms the full strategy baseline. Prefer that session or hour window first.

Best current window: ETHUSD · 02:00 UTC

  • Keep current filters and size; only expand after more established sample quality.
Symbol Trades Win Rate Expectancy Total P&L Avg P&L Avg R Modes
ETHUSD 2530 68.1% $0.67 $1684.88 $0.67 —
shadow 2277 trades 72.9% $12485.07 exp $5.48
live 253 trades 24.1% $-10800.19 exp $-42.69

mt5_auto_EURUSD_PRO

1 symbol tracked · sample established

Last trade
2026-05-29 22:45:00
Trades
2129
1963W / 166L / 0 BE
Win Rate
92.2%
Expectancy
$50.50
Total P&L
$107506.58
Avg P&L
$50.50
Avg R
—

Best Historical Windows

Observational, not guaranteed

EURUSD.PRO · 04:00 UTC

exp $223.38
6 trades 50.0% win $1340.30 unknown

EURUSD.PRO · 11:00 UTC

exp $172.64
13 trades 76.9% win $2244.37 unknown

EURUSD.PRO · 22:00 UTC · history_import

exp $133.02
49 trades 98.0% win $6518.00 history_import

Parameter Recommendation

window_only

EURUSD.PRO · 04:00 UTC materially outperforms the full strategy baseline. Prefer that session or hour window first.

Best current window: EURUSD.PRO · 04:00 UTC

  • Keep current filters and size; only expand after more established sample quality.
Symbol Trades Win Rate Expectancy Total P&L Avg P&L Avg R Modes
EURUSD.PRO 2129 92.2% $50.50 $107506.58 $50.50 —
shadow 2020 trades 95.1% $114613.00 exp $56.74
live 109 trades 38.5% $-7106.42 exp $-65.20

mt5_auto_US500

1 symbol tracked · sample established

Last trade
2026-05-29 18:00:00
Trades
1839
1588W / 251L / 0 BE
Win Rate
86.4%
Expectancy
$11.58
Total P&L
$21291.92
Avg P&L
$11.58
Avg R
—

Best Historical Windows

Observational, not guaranteed

US500 · 21:00 UTC

exp $1435.34
9 trades 100.0% win $12918.07 unknown

US500 · 16:00 UTC

exp $227.19
16 trades 62.5% win $3635.00 unknown

US500 · 15:00 UTC

exp $150.76
3 trades 100.0% win $452.27 unknown

Parameter Recommendation

window_only

US500 · 21:00 UTC materially outperforms the full strategy baseline. Prefer that session or hour window first.

Best current window: US500 · 21:00 UTC

  • Keep current filters and size; only expand after more established sample quality.
Symbol Trades Win Rate Expectancy Total P&L Avg P&L Avg R Modes
US500 1839 86.4% $11.58 $21291.92 $11.58 —
shadow 1724 trades 89.0% $11477.45 exp $6.66
live 115 trades 47.0% $9814.47 exp $85.34

mt5_auto_USTEC100

1 symbol tracked · sample established

Last trade
2026-05-29 17:55:00
Trades
1824
1452W / 372L / 0 BE
Win Rate
79.6%
Expectancy
$30.66
Total P&L
$55932.21
Avg P&L
$30.66
Avg R
—

Best Historical Windows

Observational, not guaranteed

USTEC100 · 11:00 UTC

exp $534.72
4 trades 100.0% win $2138.89 unknown

USTEC100 · 12:00 UTC

exp $203.48
6 trades 100.0% win $1220.85 unknown

USTEC100 · 21:00 UTC

exp $198.85
6 trades 33.3% win $1193.08 unknown

Parameter Recommendation

window_only

USTEC100 · 11:00 UTC materially outperforms the full strategy baseline. Prefer that session or hour window first.

Best current window: USTEC100 · 11:00 UTC

  • Keep current filters and size; only expand after more established sample quality.
Symbol Trades Win Rate Expectancy Total P&L Avg P&L Avg R Modes
USTEC100 1824 79.6% $30.66 $55932.21 $30.66 —
shadow 1686 trades 83.3% $61807.76 exp $36.66
live 138 trades 34.8% $-5875.55 exp $-42.58

mt5_auto_XAUUSD_PRO

1 symbol tracked · sample established

Last trade
2026-05-29 16:00:00
Trades
1595
1233W / 356L / 6 BE
Win Rate
77.6%
Expectancy
$637.31
Total P&L
$1012678.15
Avg P&L
$634.91
Avg R
—

Best Historical Windows

Observational, not guaranteed

XAUUSD.PRO · 09:00 UTC · history_import

exp $1115.68
62 trades 96.8% win $69172.17 history_import

XAUUSD.PRO · 03:00 UTC · history_import

exp $1099.45
88 trades 78.4% win $96751.25 history_import

XAUUSD.PRO · 11:00 UTC · history_import

exp $1028.78
22 trades 86.4% win $22633.08 history_import

Parameter Recommendation

window_only

XAUUSD.PRO · 09:00 UTC · history_import materially outperforms the full strategy baseline. Prefer that session or hour window first.

Best current window: XAUUSD.PRO · 09:00 UTC · history_import

  • Keep current filters and size; only expand after more established sample quality.
Symbol Trades Win Rate Expectancy Total P&L Avg P&L Avg R Modes
XAUUSD.PRO 1595 77.6% $637.31 $1012678.15 $634.91 —
shadow 1349 trades 80.5% $1003646.49 exp $743.99
live 246 trades 61.3% $9031.66 exp $37.63

mt5_auto_OILUSD_PRO

1 symbol tracked · sample established

Last trade
2026-05-29 15:00:00
Trades
1452
1026W / 424L / 2 BE
Win Rate
70.8%
Expectancy
$310.62
Total P&L
$450404.64
Avg P&L
$310.20
Avg R
—

Best Historical Windows

Observational, not guaranteed

OILUSD.PRO · 21:00 UTC · history_import

exp $808.77
34 trades 61.8% win $27498.29 history_import

OILUSD.PRO · 18:00 UTC · history_import

exp $711.26
47 trades 80.9% win $33429.26 history_import

OILUSD.PRO · 17:00 UTC · history_import

exp $664.07
31 trades 80.6% win $20586.28 history_import

Parameter Recommendation

window_only

OILUSD.PRO · 21:00 UTC · history_import materially outperforms the full strategy baseline. Prefer that session or hour window first.

Best current window: OILUSD.PRO · 21:00 UTC · history_import

  • Keep current filters and size; only expand after more established sample quality.
Symbol Trades Win Rate Expectancy Total P&L Avg P&L Avg R Modes
OILUSD.PRO 1452 70.8% $310.62 $450404.64 $310.20 —
shadow 1404 trades 72.0% $455036.84 exp $324.10
live 48 trades 32.6% $-4632.20 exp $-100.70